{"id":28820,"date":"2022-12-28T13:29:55","date_gmt":"2022-12-28T13:29:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.growthmentor.com\/location\/athens\/run-rate-copy\/"},"modified":"2023-01-18T19:44:56","modified_gmt":"2023-01-18T19:44:56","slug":"run-rate","status":"publish","type":"glossary","link":"https:\/\/www.growthmentor.com\/glossary\/run-rate\/","title":{"rendered":"Run Rate"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h3 id=\"what-is-the-run-rate\"><strong>What is the run rate?<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Revenue run rate is a financial performance indicator that estimates your company&#8217;s upcoming revenue over a period of time based on previous earnings. It is usually calculated for an entire year, but you can also estimate run rates for shorter or longer periods.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The longer the time frame is, the more accurate your run rates will be because they are based on more historical data. Short-term run rates might not offer the same insight into company growth since you would be projecting profits based on very little information.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This economic forecasting tool is essential for predicting long-term growth, especially for <strong>SaaS companies<\/strong>. However, accurate run rates are based on the assumption that nothing will change for your company in, let&#8217;s say, a year &#8211; same churn rates, same customers, same <a href=\"https:\/\/www.growthmentor.com\/glossary\/average-revenue-per-user\/\">ARPU<\/a>, same company size.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This approach is unrealistic when considering fluctuations in the political landscape, economy, seasonality, potential company growth, etc.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>When you combine run rates with <strong>other company growth metrics<\/strong>, such as sales linearity, next quarter pipelines, etc., you will have a better projection of your company\u2019s evolution.&nbsp;Let&#8217;s see how to calculate run rates on an annual basis but also based on other timeframes.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Related:<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.growthmentor.com\/blog\/saas-growth-metrics\/\">Growth Metrics Every SaaS Business Should Track<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"how-to-calculate-run-rate\"><strong>How to calculate run rate&nbsp;<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Here is the standard <strong>run rate formula<\/strong> you can use to calculate both annual run rates as well as run rates for shorter time frames:<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh3.googleusercontent.com\/PG0D7oePrfyp3WeLpZRf3l9K1lqlPY1tHEOEX8tjH1sZhr3acyGP6L6BvJG2kK7R9ca8V-gaW1BXGBBB8FxyzmLwZ6dFKHgW7ejvjAkMHX_EwgozBNCl-nmX49ZeR50KhyvJrVX5QmFGowVxsNzgHf-8DGWrdrZPRXfTlHiWn9Ki31AbRhQqGxxqO1B_qQ\" alt=\"\" width=\"446\" height=\"198\"\/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The annual run rate can also be calculated by multiplying the Revenue in one month by the number of months:&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Annual run rate = Revenue in period Y x Number of periods Y in one year<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh3.googleusercontent.com\/ZgD4tdz1r_ktai4cn3rf1F0Tf-kWU9ZdQx7Yv0pMGj0VmVJBTIazsfkmINFMJrpPXj9DW6C0mMa5_cQ4bviCweecRQ7lrF38r4yAPtWjThoFAAgaNCZTS25TsRTfMw_8PP_mloSoptHbj9IFmFAlQ8eYc-pczJqMqZM2cMej03XR2DOhlGUQ99QMfPgc2Q\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<p>Companies can modify and adapt the formula so that it makes more sense for their business model.&nbsp;As a SaaS business with pay-as-you-go and subscription packages, we estimate the run rate using three months of historical data.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Similarly to the second formula in the image above, we multiply the last three months of Revenue by four (12 months). This helps us estimate revenue growth more accurately.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"benefits-of-calculating-run-rate\"><strong>Benefits of calculating run rate<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Why should you know how to calculate run rates and how will this help <strong>grow your business<\/strong>? Here are the main benefits:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul>\n<li>Future growth insight;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Future earnings estimate;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Smart budgeting;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Future savings overview;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Optimized inventories;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ideal company benchmark.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Now let&#8217;s dig deeper and see precisely why calculating run rates is essential for every company:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Run rates calculation helps companies <a href=\"https:\/\/freetools.textmagic.com\/revenue-growth-prediction-calculator\">predict revenue growth<\/a> and achieve a general outlook on <strong>company health<\/strong>. This way, managers can start planning future expenses and think about expansion or, on the contrary, about reducing budgets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If your company is going through operational changes, run rates can help estimate if these changes will impact the business.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Regarding <a href=\"https:\/\/www.growthmentor.com\/glossary\/common-stock\/\">stock options<\/a>, run rates reflect the average annual dilution of your company&#8217;s stock. This metric can only be estimated accurately for companies that have been on the market longer since the best estimations consider company evolution over a minimum 3-year span.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Rapidly expanding subscription-based companies benefit most from calculating run rates. This helpful benchmark metric is an excellent indicator for <strong>evaluating internal initiatives<\/strong>, like the launch of a new product or structural changes in the company&#8217;s organizational scheme. SaaS companies can tell if the changes they plan to implement are worth it just by looking at run rates.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"problems-with-run-rate\"><strong>Problems with run rate<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Run rates are very hard to calculate when it comes to fast-growing companies. This is also the case with companies going through changes, like launching a new product or modifying their price structure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Because the run rate is calculated based on a presumed <strong>even income distribution<\/strong> throughout the year, it can fall short when seasonal fluctuations come into the picture. Here are some cases where run rates might be less accurate:&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 id=\"holiday-and-seasonal-industries\"><strong>Holiday and seasonal industries<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Calculating run rates based on temporary spikes will not yield accurate results. For example, companies that sell Christmas decorations will have very low sales figures during the off-season. Run rates offer insight into a company\u2019s future profits only if that company\u2019s revenue is consistent throughout the year.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Another related problem is the one companies face when registering many one-time sales. A large volume of one-time sales throws off run rates\u2019 accuracy because they are based on repeated purchases and repeated client patterns, which enhance future profit predictability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 id=\"company-changes-future-market-fluctuations-and-trends\"><strong>Company changes, future market fluctuations, and trends<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>In the case of companies that are on the verge of launching a new product, things get tricky: run rates might be inaccurate if you calculate them immediately after a product launch. Sales will register significant spikes and subsequent drops during this time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Run rates are calculated taking into account past data. If your company registered significant growth, say, this time last year, it doesn&#8217;t mean it will happen again next year. Accurate future performance predictions should also consider other factors, like emerging market trends, global conflicts, resource depletion, etc.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 id=\"contractual-limitations-and-expiry-dates\"><strong>Contractual limitations and expiry dates<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Most companies run on set contracts. These include utility suppliers, rent, outsourced projects, service providers, and services \/products they provide. If you calculate estimated profits without considering how many contracts will expire in the upcoming year, your estimations will be far off.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"difference-between-run-rate-and-recurring-revenue\"><strong>Difference between run rate and recurring revenue<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Annual or <a href=\"https:\/\/www.growthmentor.com\/glossary\/monthly-recurring-revenue-mrr\/\">Monthly Recurring Revenue<\/a> (ARR and MRR), are subscription-based economy metrics. It shows how much money subscriptions earn for your company on a yearly basis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Unlike the Annual Recurring Revenue, the Annual Run Rate is a projection of how much you stand to make off a certain subscription based on what they spent in the past.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"what-run-rate-means-for-investors\"><strong>What run rate means for investors<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Run rates help business managers make better decisions based on accurate company insights, devise better growth strategies, and administer their resources more effectively.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>They are also instrumental in tracking company progress and seeing how your company is positioned in the marketplace compared to the competition.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>When run rates fall short compared to last year\u2019s earnings, managers can find new ways to minimize expenses and look into innovative ideas to increase sales.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.growthmentor.com\/glossary\/lead-investor\/\">Lead investors<\/a> should consider both annual run rates and annual recurring revenue when they advise the company and the other investors they represent.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>What is the run rate? Revenue run rate is a financial performance indicator that estimates your company&#8217;s upcoming revenue over a period of time based on previous earnings. It is usually calculated for an entire year, but you can also estimate run rates for shorter or longer periods.&nbsp; The longer the time frame is, the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":125,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"template":"","glossary-term":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Run Rate: Definition, Pros &amp; Cons | GrowthMentor Glossary<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Run rate is a financial performance indicator that estimates your company&#039;s upcoming revenue over a period of time.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.growthmentor.com\/glossary\/run-rate\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Run 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